Quarterly EPS Growth
Reported EPS $1.97 and adjusted EPS $1.93 in Q1 2026 versus $1.76 a year ago — reported EPS up $0.21 (+11.9%) and adjusted EPS up $0.17 (+9.7%).
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The call reflected strong operational and financial momentum: double-digit reported EPS growth year-over-year, reaffirmed full-year guidance, large tax-credit monetization and regulatory approvals providing multi-billion-dollar customer benefits, sizable late-stage economic development pipeline and active generation build execution. Management also highlighted balance sheet actions to fund a $103 billion capital plan and maintained a long record of dividend payments. The main challenges are near-term cost pressures from higher O&M and depreciation (including storm response), regulatory/affordability scrutiny in the Carolinas, unresolved execution and financing risks for new nuclear builds, and the long lead times and concentration risk associated with large data center loads. On balance, the positive operational wins, strong cash proceeds and constructive regulatory achievements materially outweigh the near-term headwinds.
Duke reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $6.55–$6.80 and a 5%–7% long‑term EPS growth rate through 2030 (with confidence to earn in the top half of that range beginning in 2028); Q1 reported and adjusted EPS were $1.97 and $1.93 (vs. $1.76 a year ago), with Electric Utilities & Infrastructure up $0.16 and Gas up $0.01. Management expects new large customers to begin taking energy as early as H2 2027 into 2028 and ramp to full contracted load into the early–mid 2030s, having signed ~7.6 GW of ESAs (2.7 GW this quarter, nearly two‑thirds under construction) and holding a late‑stage pipeline of 15.4 GW. The company plans to add 14 GW of generation over five years (5 GW gas under construction, 2.5 GW in development), is executing a $103 billion capital plan, and has strengthened liquidity with >$5 billion of proceeds received (a $2.8B Brookfield tranche and $2.5B Piedmont sale), a monetization agreement for up to $3.1B of clean energy tax credits through 2028, estimated $2.3B of customer savings from the Carolina utility combination (effective Jan 1, 2027), $1.5B of 3% convertible notes issued, $300M priced on the ATM (settling Dec 2027), a 2026 FFO/debt target of 14.5% (15% long term), and a continued focus on flat O&M for the year.
Reported EPS $1.97 and adjusted EPS $1.93 in Q1 2026 versus $1.76 a year ago — reported EPS up $0.21 (+11.9%) and adjusted EPS up $0.17 (+9.7%).
Company reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $6.55–$6.80 and reiterated a 5%–7% long-term EPS growth rate through 2030 with confidence to earn in the top half of the range beginning in 2028.
Signed an incremental 2.7 GW of electric service agreements (ESAs) in the quarter, bringing executed ESAs to ~7.6 GW (nearly two-thirds already under construction). Late-stage high-confidence pipeline sits at 15.4 GW and construction is underway on the first ~5 GW of new data centers.
Reached a multiyear agreement to monetize up to $3.1 billion of clean energy tax credits through 2028 and received regulatory approvals for combining the two Carolina utilities; management estimates $2.3 billion of customer savings through 2040 and cited more than $5 billion of total customer benefits.
Realized more than $5.3 billion of proceeds from strategic transactions (Brookfield tranche: $2.8B; sale of Piedmont TN: $2.5B), issued $1.5B of convertible senior notes at a 3% coupon, and priced $300M of equity under ATM — actions support a $103B regulated capital plan and improve financial flexibility.
Celebrated the 100th consecutive year of paying a quarterly cash dividend. Targeting 14.5% FFO-to-debt in 2026 and ~15% over the long term to provide cushion against downgrade thresholds.
Plan to add 14 GW of generation over the next five years; 5 GW of gas generation under construction and 2.5 GW in development. NRC approved subsequent license renewal for Robinson nuclear plant (second plant renewed), and management is executing ~300 MW of nuclear upgrades and life extensions across the fleet.
Implemented a CWIP rider in Indiana for the Cayuga combined-cycle plant and filed an electric rate stabilization adjustment in South Carolina to enable annual true-ups and reduce rate volatility for customers.
Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the Duke Energy First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand the conference over to Mike Switzer, Vice President, Corporate Development and Investor Relations. Mike, please go ahead.
Thank you, Jen, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Duke Energy's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Review and Business Update. Leading our call today is Harry Sideris, President and CEO; along with Brian Savoy, Executive Vice President and CFO. Today's discussion will include the use of non-GAAP financial measures and forward-looking information. Actual results may differ from forward-looking statements due to factors disclosed in today's materials and in Duke Energy's SEC filings. The appendix of today's presentation includes supplemental information, along with a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures. With that, let me turn the call over to Harry.
Thank you, Mike, and good morning, everyone. We're pleased to be with you to share our results on the continued progress we're making on our strategic priorities. Today, we announced first quarter 2026 adjusted earnings per share of $1.93, which builds on our momentum from last year and marks a strong start to the year. These results are primarily driven by critical infrastructure investments to meet growing customer demand in our service territories. We are on track to achieve our 2026 guidance range of $6.55 to $6.80 and are reaffirming our 5% to 7% long-term EPS growth rate through 2030. And we are more confident than ever that we will deliver i...
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