Strong Regulatory Outcomes
Electric rate case: regulatory commission approved over 65% of CMS Energy's ask and maintained a 9.9% ROE for the electric business, providing constructive support for customer investments and grid resiliency.
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The call emphasized multiple constructive items: strong regulatory outcomes (65% of electric ask approved, 9.9% ROE), solid first-quarter results (adjusted EPS $1.13; adjusted net income $346M), reaffirmed full-year guidance ($3.83–$3.90), an expanding customer pipeline (110 MW signed YTD, 2%–3% sales growth outlook), and meaningful long-term data-center-driven growth optionality (1 GW ≈ $2B–$5B CapEx and ~2% rate reduction per GW). Offsetting these positives were near-term operational and financing headwinds: a meaningful March ice storm (-$0.05/share), a weather-driven ~$0.23/share headwind for the balance of the year, Moody’s negative outlook on the utility due to capital/recovery timing, and incremental equity/financing pressure if large-load conversions accelerate capital needs. Overall, the company appears confident in execution, growth opportunities, and guidance, but faces tangible near-term weather, credit-outlook, and financing risks that management is actively addressing.
Management reaffirmed its 2026 and longer‑term objectives: Q1 adjusted EPS was $1.13 (adjusted net income $346M) and full‑year adjusted EPS guidance remains $3.83–$3.90 (confident toward the high end), with long‑term adjusted EPS growth targeted at 6%–8% and an approximate 3% dividend yield; the company plans to invest over $24B in its five‑year capital plan, assumes 2%–3% annual sales growth, and estimates each 1 GW of new large load could add $2B–$5B of incremental CapEx while lowering average customer rates by ~2% annually over five years. For the quarter, weather was a $0.01 per‑share tailwind, rate relief net of investments contributed +$0.11, storm costs weighed -$0.05, and other items added +$0.04; for the remaining nine months management models normal weather at -$0.23 per share, regulatory benefits of +$0.24, O&M savings of +$0.04, and an incremental +$0.06–$0.13 per share from NorthStar/other offsets net of parent financing. On funding, the company executed ~ $495M of equity forward contracts (settled ~ $142M) and plans to issue ~ $700M of equity this year, with average annual equity needs of about $750M over the 2026–2030 plan; Moody’s and Fitch reaffirmed ratings, though Moody’s placed the utility on a negative outlook.
Electric rate case: regulatory commission approved over 65% of CMS Energy's ask and maintained a 9.9% ROE for the electric business, providing constructive support for customer investments and grid resiliency.
First-quarter adjusted net income of $346 million and adjusted EPS of $1.13. Company reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS guidance of $3.83 to $3.90 and reiterated long-term adjusted EPS growth target of 6%–8%.
Michigan electric bills ranked 14th lowest in the U.S.; customer bills (electric and gas) are expected to remain below the energy CPI while the company invests over $24 billion in its five-year plan. Target dividend yield ~3%.
Signed roughly 110 MW of new customer contracts year-to-date vs ~100 MW signed last year (≈10% increase), on top of ~450 MW connected last year. Company expects broad state-driven load growth of ~2%–3% annual sales growth.
Advanced progress on multiple hyperscaler data-center deals (one nearing final contract). Pipeline historically ~9 GW (and described as larger today). Company estimates each 1 GW of new large load could drive $2 billion–$5 billion of incremental CapEx and would reduce average customer rates by ~2% annually over a five-year period.
NorthStar outperformed a soft comp from last year and contributed positively to the quarter; milestones on renewable projects delivered positive earnings impacts and drove part of a $0.04 per share favorable variance in the quarter.
Executed equity forward contracts totaling approximately $495 million during the quarter and settled ~$142 million of those contracts. Company plans to issue an aggregate ~ $700 million of equity over the year and previously issued convertible debt to address parent financing flexibility.
Both Moody’s and Fitch reaffirmed CMS Energy's credit ratings in March, reflecting continued investment-grade status for the company overall.
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the CMS Energy 2026 First Quarter Results. The earnings news release issued earlier today and the presentation used in this webcast are available on CMS Energy Corporation’s website in the Investor Relations section. This call is being recorded. After the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. Instructions will be provided at that time. If at any time during the conference you need to reach an operator, please press the star followed by 0. Just a reminder, there will be a rebroadcast of this conference call today beginning at 12 PM Eastern Time running through May 5. This presentation is also being webcast and is available on CMS Energy Corporation’s website in the Investor Relations section.
At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Jason Shore, Treasurer and Vice President of Investor Relations.
Thank you, Rob. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. With me are Garrick J. Rochow, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Rejji P. Hayes, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Please refer to our SEC filings for more information regarding the risks and other factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially. This presentation also includes non-GAAP measures.
Reconciliations of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in the appendix and posted on our website. I will now turn the call over to Garrick.
Thank you, Jason, and t...
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